A model to predict the residual life of aircraft engines based upon oil analysis data

This paper reports on a study using the available oil monitoring information, such as the data obtained using the Spectrometric Oil Analysis Programme (SOAP), to predict the residual life of a set of aircraft engines. The relationship between oil monitoring information and the residual life is established using the concept of the proportional residual, which states that the predicted residual life may be proportional to the wear increment measured by the oil analysis programmes. Assuming such a relationship between wear and the residual life exists, we formulated a recursive prediction model for the item's residual life given measured oil monitoring information to date. A set of censored life data of 30 aircraft engines (right censored due to preventive overhaul) along with the history of their monitored metal concentration information are available to us. The metal concentration information includes many variables, such as Fe, Cu, Al, etc.; not all of them are useful, and some of them may be correlated. The principal component analysis (PCA) has been adopted to reduce the dimension of the original data set and to produce a new set of uncorrelated variables, which we shall use in the prediction model. The procedure associated with estimating model parameters is discussed. The model is fitted to the actual SOAP data from the aircraft engines, and the goodness‐of‐fit test has been carried out. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

一类非线性动力系统的时滞反馈分叉控制

对时滞控制作用下的参数激励van der Pol-Duffing方程进行了研究,着重研究了时滞参数对该类参数激励系统的1/2亚谐共振-主参数共振分叉响应控制。首先采用摄动法从理论上推导出时滞动力系统的分叉响应方程,再采用数值模拟的方法研究了时滞参数对系统分叉响应的影响。研究结果表明,适当选取时滞参数,不仅可以改变分叉响应曲线的拓扑形态,还可以平移分叉响应曲线,即使其分叉提前或滞后,还能同时满足这两种要求。     

一类脉冲时滞抛物型方程解的振动准则

讨论了一类含脉冲的时滞抛物型方程解的振动性,利用格林公式以及Jensen不等式,得出了该方程在一类边界条件下解的振动准则。     

Using stochastic programming to solve an outpatient appointment scheduling problem with random service and arrival times

We study a stochastic outpatient appointment scheduling problem (SOASP) in which we need to design a schedule and an adaptive rescheduling (i.e., resequencing or declining) policy for a set of patients. Each patient has a known type and associated probability distributions of random service duration and random arrival time. Finding a provably optimal solution to this problem requires solving a multistage stochastic mixed‐integer program (MSMIP) with a schedule optimization problem solved at each stage, determining the optimal rescheduling policy over the various random service durations and arrival times. In recognition that this MSMIP is intractable, we first consider a two‐stage model (TSM) that relaxes the nonanticipativity constraints of MSMIP and so yields a lower bound. Second, we derive a set of valid inequalities to strengthen and improve the solvability of the TSM formulation. Third, we obtain an upper bound for the MSMIP by solving the TSM under the feasible (and easily implementable) appointment order (AO) policy, which requires that patients are served in the order of their scheduled appointments, independent of their actual arrival times. Fourth, we propose a Monte Carlo approach to evaluate the relative gap between the MSMIP upper and lower bounds. Finally, in a series of numerical experiments, we show that these two bounds are very close in a wide range of SOASP instances, demonstrating the near‐optimality of the AO policy. We also identify parameter settings that result in a large gap in between these two bounds. Accordingly, we propose an alternative policy based on neighbor‐swapping. We demonstrate that this alternative policy leads to a much tighter upper bound and significantly shrinks the gap.     

A novel formulation of material nonlinear analysis in structural mechanics

This article demonstrates a novel approach for material nonlinear analysis. This analysis procedure eliminates tedious and lengthy step by step incremental and then iterative procedure adopted classically and gives direct results in the linear as well as in nonlinear range of the material behavior. Use of elastic moduli is eliminated. Instead, stress and strain functions are used as the material input in the analysis procedure. These stress and strain functions are directly derived from the stress-strain behavior of the material by the method of curve fitting. This way, the whole stress-strain diagram is utilized in the analysis which naturally exposes the response of structure when loading is in nonlinear range of the material behavior. It is found that it is an excellent computational procedure adopted so far for material nonlinear analysis which gives very accurate results, easy to adopt and simple in calculations. The method eliminates all types of linearity assumptions in basic derivations of equations and hence, eliminates all types of possibility of errors in the analysis procedure as well. As it is required to know stress distribution in the structural body by proper modelling and structural idealization, the proposed analysis approach can be regarded as stress-based analysis procedure. Basic problems such as uniaxial problem, beam bending, and torsion problems are solved. It is found that approach is very suitable for solving the problems of fracture mechanics. Energy release rate for plate with center crack and double cantilever beam specimen is also evaluated. The approach solves the fracture problem with relative ease in strength of material style calculations. For all problems, results are compared with the classical displacement-based liner theory.     

坦克稳定器的神经滑模控制方法

针对坦克稳定器这一类非线性和不确定性的复杂控制对象,提出一种神经滑模控制方法。该方法将滑模控制与神经网络相结合,解决了控制系统跟踪性能和鲁棒性能之间的矛盾。系统中的滑模控制器保证了系统的快速跟踪性能;而神经网络具有很强的自学习功能,通过学习能够保证系统的稳定性,同时可对扰动和参数变化进行有效的抑制补偿,从而在不牺牲系统鲁棒性的同时达到削弱抖振的目的。从理论上证明了滑动平面的稳定性,并且通过仿真验证了该结果。仿真结果表明该设计方法优于经典设计,为实际设计提供了一种可行的新方法。     

用于纯方位目标运动分析的泰勒级数法

以泰勒级数法的理论模型为基础,研究它在纯方位TMA中的应用问题。将泰勒级数法与高斯-牛顿法相结合,得到一种混合泰勒级数法。这种混合方法简单易懂,计算并不复杂。经蒙特卡罗仿真研究,其性能可与高斯-牛顿法相比较,对于有些态势甚至在收敛时间以及解算效果上要优于高斯-牛顿法。算法性能反映在一些典型的TMA态势上。     

基于小波网络的非线性系统辨识研究

小波网络为非线性系统辨识研究提供了一种有效的方法,但目前用于小波网络学习的进化算法易陷入局部极小等缺陷.结合生物免疫系统的概念和理论,在非线性系统辨识中引入基于免疫算法的小波网络.该算法中抗体通过浓度相互作用的机制来促进或抑制抗体的生成,借此保持抗体的多样性,并产生了高亲和力的抗体对种群进行不断的更新,提高了算法的全局搜索能力和收敛速度.最后,把基于免疫算法的小波网络用于一个非线性系统辨识的标准实例中,仿真结果验证了该算法的有效性.     

Emergency transshipment in decentralized dealer networks: When to send and accept transshipment requests

While there has been significant previous literature on inventory transshipment, most research has focused on the dealers' demand filling decision (when to fill transshipment requests from other dealers), ignoring the requesting decision (when to send transshipment requests to other dealers). In this paper we develop optimal inventory transshipment policies that incorporate both types of decisions. We consider a decentralized system in which the dealers are independent of the manufacturer and of each other. We first study a network consisting of a very large number of dealers. We prove that the optimal inventory and transshipment decisions for an individual dealer are controlled by threshold rationing and requesting levels. Then, in order to study the impact of transshipment among independent dealers in a smaller dealer network, we consider a decentralized two‐dealer network and use a game theoretic approach to characterize the equilibrium inventory strategies of the individual dealers. An extensive numerical study highlights the impact of the requesting decision on the dealers' equilibrium behavior in a decentralized setting. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

Optimal maintenance policies for serial,multi‐machine systems with non‐instantaneous repairs

We study optimal age‐replacement policies for machines in series with non‐instantaneous repair times by formulating two nonlinear programs: one that minimizes total cost‐rate subject to a steady‐state throughput requirement and another that maximizes steady‐state throughput subject to a cost‐rate budget constraint. Under reasonable assumptions, the single‐machine cost‐optimal and throughput‐optimal solutions are unique and orderable, and the multi‐machine optimal solutions have appealing structure. Furthermore, we establish equivalence between the two formulations and provide an illustrative numerical example. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006